I watched the debate, and thought Pres. Bush had won, but really got mad at Sen. Kerry. I was in the minority. In fact, the conventional wisdom is the Sen. Kerry soundly thrashed Pres. Bush in the first debate (NRO for example).
Now, it is the day after the 3rd debate. I am beginning to think Pres. Bush didn’t do so badly in the 1st debate .
Why do I say that? Quickly, name two phrases from the first debate.
Times up.
What were those phrases? My best guess is they were:
- [Kerry]…Global Test…
- [Bush]…Hard Work…
Okay, first things first: these phrases resonated.
Why? For me, because I believe both candidates spoke the TRUTH as they saw it. That is, those statements were real to the candidates, and the sincerity of them pierced the fog on both sides.
Look at the evidence: people who supported one candidate latched onto that one phrase of the other as a phrase of derision, while essentially saying of their own candidate ‘Of course he said that! it’s true! They are just being stubborn and refusing to see it!’
The question is, which phrase is more damaging? My prophecy for the historic judgment is that ‘Hard Work’ is ‘Thousand Points of Light’, a somewhat vacuous, somewhat ridiculous statement that is great for Saturday Night Live parody.
‘Global Test’ will come to be ‘Of course I’ll raise your taxes. It doesn’t matter which one of us gets elected. The difference is, I just told you the truth and my opponent won’t’.
I’m sure Mondale and Kerry both truly believed that they were right when they spoke. And that those statements, spoken in candor, are true representations of what they intend.
My worry is that the lesson the Democrats will learn if they lose on Nov. 2 is that they cannot put up a candidate that speaks honestly. Sen. Kerry is a bridge between the blatant prevaricating of Clinton and Gore and the candor of Mondale and Dukakis. I really believe that Clinton and Gore were a reaction to the drubbing that Mondale and Dukakis got for being honest. I fear the lesson learned will be that if you tell the truth, you can’t win.
And making this nearly inevitable is the “Bush LiedTM” meme. To many on the Left, it’ll be obvious that Bush lied (and was rewarded) and that Kerry was honest (and punished) about the state of the world.